Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 138
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 138 · ABQ → LAS
departs 8:50 PM MT · arrives 9:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at ABQ that day
Weather at each end
ABQ (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.