Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 138 LANDED 9:34 PM PT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

WN 138 · DEN → SNA

took off 8:45 PM MT · landed 9:34 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ ABQ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 138 · DEN → SNA

Odds over time