Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1402
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1402 · MCO → DAL
departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.