Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1411 · DAL → STL
departs 9:15 AM CT · arrives 11:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at STL that day
↓
9am departures from DAL are usually not late
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.85 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.