Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1412
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1412 · DAL → STL
departs 1:00 PM CT · arrives 2:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 20%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Arrivals into STL at that hour are usually not late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.90 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.