Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1432 · HOU → SAT
departs 9:25 AM CT · arrives 10:25 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 10%
Mon 10/5 12%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late
↓
9am departures from HOU are usually not late
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 1.25 mi
Precip 0.58 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.25 mi
Precip 1.83 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.