Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1457 LANDED 9:27 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 1457 · DAL → SAT

took off 8:43 PM CT · landed 9:27 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ 8pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.24 in

SAT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1457 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time