Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1522
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1522 · DEN → DAL
departs 7:05 PM MT · arrives 10:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 36%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.