Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1599 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 1599 · TUS → DEN

departs 3:15 PM MT · arrives 6:15 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±7 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 3pm departures from TUS are often late

↓ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at TUS that day

↓ TUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TUS (origin) Gusts31 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1599 · TUS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?