Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 159
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 159 · ALB → BWI
departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 4:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 12%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.