Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 164
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 164 · BWI → ALB
departs 1:25 PM ET · arrives 2:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
ALB usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.