Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1682
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1682 · DEN → PHX
departs 5:20 PM MT · arrives 6:15 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 27%
Mon 10/5 31%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.