WN 1683 · DEN → MDW

took off 9:42 PM MT · landed 12:29 AM CT (scheduled 11:07 PM MT → 2:35 AM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1683 · DEN → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?