Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1693
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1693 · DEN → RIC
departs 1:40 PM MT · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 22%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
RIC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 31 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
RIC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 11,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.