Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1781
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1781 · DTW → MDW
departs 8:40 AM ET · arrives 8:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.64286 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.64286 mi Precip 0.96 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 3.28571 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.