Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 185
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 185 · LAS → BOI
departs 10:30 PM PT · arrives 1:15 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 27%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BOI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOI?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.