Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 187 LANDED 11:02 PM MT, ~20 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 187 · AUS → ABQ

took off 10:39 PM CT · landed 11:02 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at ABQ that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 187 · AUS → ABQ

Odds over time