Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1898
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1898 · BOS → BWI
departs 5:20 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
70%
chance · ±0 pts
+34 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
70%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
29%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +34 pts in 24h
+34 pts
70%
Yes 70%
No 30%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
5pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.