Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1900
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1900 · BNA → AUS
departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
74%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
74%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
74%
Yes 74%
No 26%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
37%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
5pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.69 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.