Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1927
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 1927 · HNL → OGG
departs 5:50 AM HT · arrives 6:40 AM HT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 2%
Mon 10/5 2%
Tue 10/6 2%
Wed 10/7 2%
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at OGG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from HNL are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
OGG (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.