Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 198
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 198 · DAL → OKC
departs 10:10 PM CT · arrives 11:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 27%
Thu 10/8 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.88 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.