Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2043 · HOU → MDW
departs 6:50 PM CT · arrives 9:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.47 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.