Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 205
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 205 · DAL → VPS
departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 13%
Sat 10/10 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.24 in
VPS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 1.38 mi
Precip 3.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.