Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2083
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2083 · MCI → STL
departs 1:45 PM CT · arrives 2:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 7%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at STL that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.