Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2096
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 2096 · AMA → AUS
departs 1:20 PM CT · arrives 2:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±5 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at AMA that day
↑
Other factors
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.66 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.