Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2112 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2112 · LAS → BNA

departs 1:00 PM PT · arrives 6:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 533 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling533 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2112 · LAS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?