Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2134
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2134 · AUS → DAL
departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 8:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.08 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.