Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2173 LANDED 11:10 PM PT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 2173 · IND → LAS

took off 10:46 PM ET · landed 11:10 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ IND usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IND (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.45 in

LAS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2173 · IND → LAS

Odds over time