Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2199 LANDED 4:01 PM HT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 2199 · ITO → HNL

took off 3:34 PM HT · landed 4:01 PM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ This flight has been late 6% of the time recently

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2199 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time