Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2199
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2199 · MDW → BNA
departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 6:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
30%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,433 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.