Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2225
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2225 · DEN → MEM
departs 7:05 PM MT · arrives 10:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 37%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
32%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at MEM that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MEM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.70 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.