Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2234
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2234 · LGB → LAS
departs 10:10 AM PT · arrives 11:20 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 9%
Mon 10/5 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Fridays in October are usually busier than average
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
10am departures from LGB are usually not late
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.