Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2256
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2256 · LAS → LAX
departs 8:55 PM PT · arrives 10:10 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 40%
Mon 10/5 30%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.