Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2272 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2272 · LAS → SAN

departs 11:40 AM PT · arrives 12:55 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at SAN that day

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2272 · LAS → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?