Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2325
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 2325 · OAK → LAS
departs 5:00 AM PT · arrives 6:30 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 3%
Sun 10/4 3%
Mon 10/5 3%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
3.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at OAK that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Fridays in October are usually busier than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from OAK are usually not late
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.