Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2336
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2336 · SBA → OAK
departs 11:20 AM PT · arrives 12:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at OAK that day
↓
OAK usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.