Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2343 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2343 · SAT → LAS

departs 10:55 AM CT · arrives 11:40 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.9 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ 10am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.94 in

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2343 · SAT → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?