Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2384 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 2384 · LAX → BWI

departs 1:35 PM PT · arrives 9:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2384 · LAX → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?