Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2397
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 2397 · LAX → HNL
departs 9:00 AM PT · arrives 11:45 AM HT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 17%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.