Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 241
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 241 · ATL → STL
departs 8:20 PM ET · arrives 9:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 48%
Mon 10/5 25%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
STL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.