Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2422 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 2422 · LAS → PSP

departs 12:35 PM PT · arrives 1:40 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±4 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PSP?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PSP (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2422 · LAS → PSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to PSP?