Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2445 LANDED 11:18 PM ET, ~1 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 2445 · BNA → RDU

took off 9:18 PM CT · landed 11:18 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at BNA that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 9pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

RDU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2445 · BNA → RDU

Odds over time