Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2449
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 2449 · LGA → BNA
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 9:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 50%
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
41%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 61% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 63% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.