Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2468 LANDED 10:46 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 2468 · BWI → GSP

took off 9:43 PM ET · landed 10:46 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP

↓ GSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

GSP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2468 · BWI → GSP

Odds over time