Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2476
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2476 · LGB → AUS
departs 12:35 PM PT · arrives 5:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
↓
12pm departures from LGB are usually not late
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.