Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2514 · LIH → LAS
departs 8:10 PM HT · arrives 5:00 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 9%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 10%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.2d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day
↓
8pm departures from LIH are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.59 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.