Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2522
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
WN 2522 · MAF → DEN
departs 6:05 AM CT · arrives 6:55 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 7%
Sun 10/4 3%
Mon 10/5 4%
Fri 10/9 3%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from MAF are usually not late
Weather at each end
MAF (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,140 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.