Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2533
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2533 · MCI → BNA
departs 1:25 PM CT · arrives 3:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 14%
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.