Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2583
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2583 · MCI → SAT
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 4:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SAT is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.