Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2592 · SJU → MCO
departs 11:35 AM AT · arrives 2:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.